Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.094584 0.102129 0.110151 0.119342 0.129614 0.140780 0.153886
2024-10-20 0.080245 0.090320 0.101667 0.115495 0.132027 0.151335 0.175855
2024-10-27 0.071172 0.082428 0.095623 0.112430 0.133551 0.159608 0.194825
2024-11-03 0.068107 0.080886 0.096413 0.117000 0.144102 0.179341 0.230000
2024-11-10 0.066209 0.080378 0.098146 0.122573 0.156135 0.201994 0.272005
2024-11-17 0.062601 0.077292 0.096170 0.122875 0.160848 0.214893 0.301704
2024-11-24 0.058729 0.073513 0.092893 0.120964 0.162051 0.222610 0.324329
2024-12-01 0.055152 0.069850 0.089451 0.118434 0.161951 0.228134 0.343943
2024-12-08 0.051625 0.066021 0.085498 0.114799 0.159758 0.230010 0.357448
2024-12-15 0.049440 0.063896 0.083758 0.114212 0.162077 0.239180 0.384941
2024-12-22 0.047123 0.061447 0.081390 0.112472 0.162357 0.244899 0.406846
2024-12-29 0.045901 0.060468 0.081064 0.113775 0.167583 0.259507 0.448200
2025-01-05 0.043185 0.057336 0.077580 0.110207 0.164919 0.260791 0.464920
2025-01-12 0.040699 0.054442 0.074323 0.106827 0.162365 0.262160 0.482625
2025-01-19 0.038583 0.051986 0.071588 0.104082 0.160640 0.264841 0.503817
2025-01-26 0.038323 0.052254 0.072999 0.108194 0.171398 0.292962 0.590772
2025-02-02 0.038264 0.052807 0.074867 0.113197 0.184328 0.327588 0.705196
2025-02-09 0.037160 0.051700 0.074031 0.113468 0.188326 0.344056 0.776897
2025-02-16 0.035719 0.050003 0.072149 0.111754 0.188266 0.351557 0.825292
2025-02-23 0.034262 0.048220 0.070037 0.109482 0.186870 0.355814 0.865323
2025-03-02 0.032701 0.046212 0.067464 0.106215 0.183164 0.354179 0.886241
2025-03-09 0.031765 0.045159 0.066425 0.105687 0.185062 0.366271 0.957580
2025-03-16 0.030690 0.043842 0.064881 0.104122 0.184626 0.372551 1.011047